Trump's "Aunt Bear Friendship" and the Beginning of America's Collapse

According to Ashura News, citing Mehr News Agency, many American neoconservatives consider US President Donald Trump to be the hero who saved the country in the current difficult situation and believe that his decisions and approvals are necessary for "restoring the greatness of America." These people believe that America needs a decisive personality like Trump to be prepared to bear the results and consequences of his decisions.

However, a point that shows itself in a realistic look at the developments in America and the challenges facing the country is whether Trump can play the role of America's savior or will he accelerate the process of the country's internal and external collapse?

Crises in America

The process of political and social life in America includes a series of dangerous crises, including the spread of political conflicts and the continuous competition between the extreme right and left, the widening of the economic gap and the increase in government debt, the growing problems related to immigration and asylum, the increase in racism and the social challenges it causes, the increasing inability of the middle classes to secure health and education services and buy housing, as well as the increase in violence and armed crimes in this country.

Identity Crisis

Mohsen Muhammad Saleh, a Palestinian writer and analyst and director of the Al-Zaytouna Studies Center, continued this article by referring to some aspects of the crises in America, writing that white Americans, especially Christian Protestants, who consider themselves the essential element of American society and the backbone of the country's movement, have the idea that the structure of America is under threat and that they are losing their majority in American society and their numbers are declining. For example, in 1970, Christians in the United States made up about 85 percent of the total population in this country, and white Christians made up 80 percent of American society, but in recent years this rate has decreased to 62 to 65 percent and is predicted to fall to less than 50 percent in 2050. The Protestant Christian population has also reached 40 percent in 2025.

Thus, neoconservatives believe that an identity crisis is taking shape in America and that ensuring the continuation of white supremacy is at risk.

Economic crisis

The spread of the economic crisis is another major challenge for American decision-makers. The total public debt of the US government has exceeded $36 trillion and 220 billion, which is more than 125 percent of the total US gross national product. This level of public debt also challenges the government's ability to finance executive programs and services in vital areas such as education and health, infrastructure, and military issues.

Class divide

In addition, the class divide crisis in American society is increasing day by day. One percent of American residents own about a third of the total wealth in this country, and 10 percent of Americans own 70 percent of the country's wealth. This is while the poorest half of American society owns less than 3 percent of American wealth. Currently, 35 million Americans are below the poverty line, which threatens the economic and social stability of American society.

Increase in crime

The crime crisis is another major challenge facing the current government of this country. In 2020, there were 21,570 crimes committed in the United States, which is among the highest averages in the world. The United States has the largest prison and prison population in the world, with about 2 million people in American prisons, which constitute 25 percent of all prisoners in the world.

Social contradictions

Social contradictions are another crisis in American society, for example, the number of African-American prisoners is 4 times that of whites, which is a worrying indicator of class and social contradictions and the oppression of black people in America.

The rise of China

The increasing military and technological power of China has become a major source of concern for American decision-makers. China's exports have exceeded those of the United States since 2009, and this figure will reach about 2 times that of the United States in 2022. ($3.6 trillion versus $1.83 trillion) It is predicted that the GDP of China and the United States will be equal in 2034, although this balance in purchasing power has been in favor of the Chinese for decades, and their purchasing power currently exceeds $6 trillion.

China has increased its military budget 8 times in the past 20 years, but this amount in the United States has increased only 65% ​​during the same period. China's nuclear hypersonic missiles are currently considered a serious threat to the United States. In addition, the Chinese have also surpassed the Americans in the number of patents, and in 2023 this figure was about 921 thousand for the Chinese compared to 315 thousand for the Americans.

The increasing power of China-affiliated groups such as the BRICS organization and their increasing international weight in the face of Washington's declining global position is another concern for the United States.

Trump's Policies

Al Jazeera adds in its report that Donald Trump and his team believe that in order to restore American hegemony and overcome the crisis, they must pursue the following policies:

1. Ending the erosion of America's administrative and executive systems and reducing costs.

2. Supporting the white majority, especially Protestants, and combating immigration and asylum to America.

3. Supporting the family and traditional values ​​in society.

4. Enacting laws that are in line with the interests of the majority.

5. Adopting a foreign policy based on domestic nationalism that prioritizes America's domestic integrity. This policy ignores international organizations, contradicts globalization and free trade, and does not accept America's military commitments to foreigners.

6. The Trump team believes that the world's rulers must be strong and that these are the ones who compete and negotiate to shape the future of the world, and that small players must adapt within the framework of the space given to them. In this regard, the Trump team ignores the values, moral principles, and international law. In this regard, they have proposed the policy of forced displacement of Palestinians, even though it goes against the national interests of their allies in Egypt, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia.

7. Trump and his team are trying to reduce America's international costs in political, military, and economic dimensions and force their allies and friends to pay various costs under the pretext of receiving services. They use the existing pressure levers in this regard and want to obtain more income for themselves at the lowest cost. Ukraine is an example of this policy.

Are Trump's policies successful?

Trump sees many challenges in achieving his goals and, based on available information, it seems that he does not have much chance of succeeding in his policies. However, he and his supporters believe that Trump should be given the opportunity to take risks.

It seems that Trump's policies will cause Washington's strategic failure in the medium and long term. The manifestation of the expansion of the US domestic crisis in the future can be listed in the following cases:

1. Trump's method of managing the world is in a way that ends the global order and the role of international institutions and destroys all the foundations of international law or morality in global relations. Although this can create a good maneuvering margin for Trump, it will lead other powers to compete with the US and try to secure their own interests. In these circumstances, the US will not have the ability to play a fundamental role in the order it intends to govern the world.

2. US policies may lead its allies and friends to become less dependent on the US and to build stronger international relations with rising powers such as China and seek new sources of arms. This will reduce US military, economic and political influence in the long and medium term, and will also challenge its financial and political blackmailing power and its influence on the international community.

3. Trump’s policies – whether they are intended or not – will create the best opportunity for China and other major powers to fill the vacuum in this country and improve their economic, military and political competitive opportunities.

4. These policies will reduce the ability of the US, as the largest country in the world, to attract investment, because the Trump administration’s behavior is such that it deprives the country of international trust.

5. In light of the implementation of US policies in the restrictions imposed on the import of goods, other governments will also retaliate and increase taxes on goods imported from the US, which will make it difficult for the US to maintain its competitive advantages.

6. Many countries, such as the BRICS countries, will try to reduce their dependence on the US dollar in international exchanges. This will be more effective when European governments or oil governments want to adopt such behavior.

7. Trump's domestic policies will destroy or weaken the country's administrative infrastructure and will lead some states to try to separate from the central government, even in the long term. The whispers of these efforts are evident in California and Texas.

8. Trump's policies for white supremacy and Protestantism will cause the spread of internal conflicts and social problems and class gaps, and increase the existing inflammation among minorities.

Conclusion

In short, Trump's policies will lead to the definitive defeat of America in the long and medium term, increase the country's crisis, create many challenges for the government and its global position, and cause a social rupture in American society. Many countries in the world are currently seeking to contain Trump's emotions and do not want to confront him directly, and will confront him when they see him paying the price for his policies.